John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

MI BAGO

G '22 · VEKOMA × WABANAKI

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

88.1

Speed fig

6.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.52
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.09
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.99
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.84

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.65
  • Num Career Starts -0.22
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.18
  • Last Finish Pos -0.16
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 SA 1m Turf 8 7.0 87 96 Opened up; caved
2026-01-24 GP 1m Turf 1 0.3 92 92 Pop gate; rail; lasted
2025-09-06 KD 6.5f Turf 11 6.8 88 97 Pace; gave way;
2025-08-01 SAR 1m Turf 5 6.5 97 92 Opened up;ins-2p;tired
2025-06-27 PEN 1m Turf 4 2.0 82 91 Inside;faded late
2025-06-07 SAR 1m Dirt 2 6.3 84 91 In hand 2p; 2nd best
2025-05-03 CD 1.06m Turf 4 1.8 92 97 Clr upr;collared;yield
2025-04-07 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 12.8 78 91 Came in st;wknd btw1/8
2025-03-01 GP 1m Turf 1 4.8 97 92 Pace 2path; driving
2025-01-01 GP 1.04m Dirt 1 0.8 86 88 Pace 2path; driving