John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 4

MERRY MADISON

F '22 · CITY OF LIGHT × ROVENNA

Trainer: MEAH ANNA M · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

80.4

Speed fig

52.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.37
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.42
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.40
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.23
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.47
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.29
  • Class Par Trend -0.20
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-09 KEE 7f Dirt 2 2.5 75 78 Prompt 3w;vied;outkckd
2026-03-11 TAM 6.5f Dirt 3 2.3 78 83 Outside;3p;late gain
2026-02-19 GP 6f Dirt 5 11.8 69 88 No factor; 3wd
2025-11-28 CD 1m Dirt 4 4.3 88 91 Vied outs wnnr;mss plc
2025-11-06 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.3 88 83 Rail; bid 1/8; up late
2025-10-04 KEE 7f Dirt 4 6.3 70 90 3w;chased btw;gave way
2025-08-31 KD 7f Turf 4 3.5 74 82 3p;angled5p1/4;stay on
2025-08-05 IND 6f Dirt 2 0.1 79 76 Inside;bid late;missed
2025-06-29 CD 1.13m Turf 9 15.0 66 81 Sqzd early;ins;3p2nd
2025-05-31 CD 7f Dirt 4 12.3 73 86 Step slow/steady st;4p