Derby 2026
← Race

PP 5

MERCANTE

G '20 · GUN RUNNER × CARESSING

Trainer: KNIPPENBERG BRIAN · Jockey: RAMOS JOSEPH D

Today's prediction

95.1

Speed fig

36.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.69
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.23
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.17
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.08
  • Last Speed Fig -0.04
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.04
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.03

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.13m Dirt 2 0.8 93 99 2p;aim 3pupr;fendd off
2025-11-08 CD 1.13m Turf 3 4.3 98 95 Bmpd btw;2-4w;7p upr
2025-10-04 KEE 1m Turf 9 5.5 94 100 Bmpd erly;saved ground
2025-09-06 KD 1.50m Turf 4 5.3 92 97 Inside;close;no rally
2025-08-02 ELP 1m Turf 4 1.8 99 95 2-3w;chsd 4pupr;ran on
2025-05-31 CD 1.06m Turf 1 0.3 90 95 2wd;bid;led 1/4;dueled
2025-05-03 CD 1.13m Turf 2 0.8 96 100 2w;vied;3-4p upr;game
2025-03-22 TP 1.13m Dirt 1 1.0 107 99 Long duel; inched away
2025-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.3 89 90 Press 2p game to wire
2025-01-26 TP 1m Dirt 8 5.3 81 89 Pressed 2p wknd str