John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 1

MENDELA

F '22 · MENDELSSOHN × JENDA'S AGENDA

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

85.3

Speed fig

35.6%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.74
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.68

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.25
  • Distance Change From Last -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.10
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.8 90 2-4p; bump upr; ran on
2026-03-12 OP 6f Dirt 5 3.0 85 3w; lacked closing bid
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 6 5.0 77 92 Off pace 4-6p; flatten
2025-08-11 ELP 5.5f Turf 5 3.5 81 Brshd btw st;ins;yield
2025-07-12 ELP 5.5f Dirt 1 0.1 88 87 Track 3w;bid 1/4;dueld
2025-05-02 CD 7f Dirt 4 3.3 90 97 Bid between;weakened
2025-03-30 OP 6f Dirt 1 6.8 92 85 Swung 5w; going away
2025-02-24 OP 6f Dirt 2 0.3 87 85 5w1/4;dove inside;miss