John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 11

MEGA MAGIC

G '22 · GOOD MAGIC × MAGICAL MOON

Trainer: STALL ALBERT M JR · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

74.8

Speed fig

19.4%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.69
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.64
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.20
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.20
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.47
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.46
  • Today Post Position -0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-01-29 FG 5.5f Turf 7 7.3 75 86 Off pace; show little
2026-01-01 FG 5.5f Turf 3 0.8 80 86 Trail; rally ins; miss
2025-09-26 CD 1m Dirt 3 6.8 79 88 3w;chsd;outkk;held shw
2025-08-31 SAR 1m Dirt 10 56.5 25 95 Ins;retreat;eased;wlkd
2025-07-12 SAR 7f Dirt 2 5.3 83 87 Ins-2p trn;mvd out3/16
2025-05-30 CD 1m Dirt 2 5.0 84 93 3p;5p1/4;rallied
2025-05-01 CD 1m Turf 9 5.3 78 91 Stalk ins;gave way 2nd
2025-03-14 FG 5.5f Turf 3 8.0 78 87 Closer 5p;plc bid;outk
2025-02-13 FG 5.5f Turf 1 1.5 81 81 Trck 5p;cleard;hld swy