Derby 2026
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PP 2

MEASURE

F '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × FATEER

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

78.4

Speed fig

19.0%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Days Since Last Race +0.54
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.23
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.11
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.33
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.75
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.65
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-06 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 81 81 4-5p;bid 3/16;inch clr
2025-10-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 10.0 77 77 1/2 stp slw;rally 4w2d
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 5 7.5 75 84 Hop/off slow;3p;7p3/16