John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 2

MEASURE

F '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × FATEER

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

80.1

Speed fig

27.4%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.45
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.50
  • Today Track Code +0.47
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.27
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.74
  • Days Since Last Race -0.27
  • Class Par Trend -0.25
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-06 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 81 81 4-5p;bid 3/16;inch clr
2025-10-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 10.0 77 77 1/2 stp slw;rally 4w2d
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 5 7.5 75 84 Hop/off slow;3p;7p3/16