John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 2

MCSNIPER

F '23 · CREATIVE CAUSE × LIBBY KNOWS

Trainer: MILLER PETER · Jockey: ESPINOZA ASSAEL

Today's prediction

74.7

Speed fig

51.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +0.43
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.39
  • Today Field Size +0.32
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.31
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.62
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.56
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.50
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 OP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 78 79 Brk out;2p;kicked clr
2026-04-09 OP 6f Dirt 8 23.0 52 84 Midpack 4p; empty lane
2026-02-20 SA 6f Dirt 2 1.3 77 86 Ins;2path turn;held2nd