John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 8

MCKINZIE'S GLORY

F '22 · MCKINZIE × GLORY

Trainer: SHAFFER SARAH E · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

78.6

Speed fig

27.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.78
  • Today Track Code +0.42
  • Class Par Trend +0.35
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.26
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.71
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.57
  • Today Post Position -0.42
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.38
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 1.06m Dirt 8 9.0 78 88 Track rail; weaken str
2026-03-22 OP 1m Dirt 2 2.3 87 91 Stdy early; 2p; ran on
2026-02-16 OP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 75 75 Bump st;bid3p1/4;held
2026-01-23 FG 1m Turf 3 5.3 66 74 Bmp; stdy; wlgnly outs
2026-01-15 FG 1m Turf 7 7.8 70 78 Never threatened
2025-12-04 TP 1.25m Dirt 4 4.5 76 80 Improved late going
2025-11-02 CD 1.13m Turf 2 9.0 81 81 Ins;5w1/4;rallied
2025-09-25 CD 1m Turf 2 1.8 74 77 Trck ins;rally 2-3pbtw
2025-08-29 SAR 1.06m Turf 8 9.5 76 84 Ins1st;2-4p2nd;5p1/4
2025-07-24 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 67 77 5w uppr; just missed