John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 12

MCKINSENSE

G '22 · MCKINZIE × LILY CON

Trainer: MORSE RANDY L · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Scratched today

73.5

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.54
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.39
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.34
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25
  • Today Weight +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -1.20
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.92
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.63
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.57
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.50

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 OP 6f Dirt 3 7.3 78 89 Stalk 4-5p; even show
2026-03-22 OP 6f Dirt 3 2.5 83 83 Trailed 5-4p; ran on