John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 8

MASSARAT

F '22 · CURLIN × AYAADY

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

87.8

Speed fig

37.6%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.37
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.63
  • Today Track Code +0.45

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.87
  • Distance Change From Last -0.35
  • Today Post Position -0.29
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.20
  • Days Since Last Race -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 1.13m Turf 8 10.0 84 3w;5-7p1/4;no factor
2025-09-04 KD 1.31m Turf 1 0.3 92 86 4p;wait 1/4;surged up
2025-06-29 CD 1.13m Turf 1 2.0 83 81 3-4w;5p1/4;bid;cleared
2025-05-01 CD 1.13m Turf 4 5.5 86 80 2-3w;vied show;bested
2025-03-22 FG 1m Turf 5 4.5 75 77 Ins;5pbtwupr;altr;stay
2025-02-27 FG 1.06m Turf 3 1.8 78 76 3p;6w1/4;rally;mss plc
2025-01-20 FG 1m Turf 3 3.8 75 76 3w;left ld;plc bd;outk
2024-12-26 FG 1.06m Dirt 6 16.0 64 81 3w;chsd 4p2nd;gave way
2024-11-02 CD 7f Dirt 9 11.5 70 81 Stp slw;ins-2p;left ld