John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R6

PP 9

MARY'S LAD

G '22 · EARTHLIGHT × GORGES

Trainer: BECKMAN D WHITWORTH · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

82.7

Speed fig

19.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.98
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.91
  • Today Track Code +0.83
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.84
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.43
  • Today Post Position -0.34
  • Today Weight -0.32
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-13 TAM 7f Dirt 1 2.8 89 87 Led;2p;held clear
2026-01-31 GP 1m Turf 4 3.5 86 90 Ins;bid3w1/4;flattened
2026-01-03 GP 1.06m Turf 2 2.8 85 94 2-3p;4w upper;ran on
2025-10-22 KEE 1m Turf 1 0.3 85 86 2w;5w2nd;up btw late
2025-08-30 KD 6f Turf 4 4.0 81 85 4-5w turn;no final bid
2025-05-11 CD 1m Turf 5 5.3 82 87 2p turns;chsd willngly