John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 10

MARKET STRATEGY

F '22 · YOSHIDA × HOW'S THE MARKET

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

62.8

Speed fig

20.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.33
  • Weight Change From Last +0.23
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.21
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.18
  • Distance Change From Last +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.44
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.03
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.01
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.87

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1m Dirt 4 4.3 66 75 Step slw;bid 4pbtw;yld
2026-03-18 TP 6f Dirt 4 10.8 58 77 Stdy aft st;2w;left ld