John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

MARKET RUNNER

G '23 · GUN RUNNER × BUY SELL HOLD

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

88.7

Speed fig

66.5%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.57
  • Last Speed Fig +1.02
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.00
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.74

Pushing prediction down

  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.18
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.12
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.11
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.07

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 7f Dirt 2 3.0 99 93 Prss 3w;6p upr;2nd bst
2026-03-01 OP 6f Dirt 4 5.0 83 89 2p;angle1/4;6p stretch
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 6 8.5 77 89 Track4w; press; faded
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 5.5 79 84 Pinch st; ins; empty
2025-11-29 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 5.5 84 85 Stdy 1st;tug ins;wllng