John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 6

MARGOINABUBBLEBATH

M '20 · MIDNIGHT STORM × STORM SWEPT

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

79.4

Speed fig

50.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.08
  • Last Speed Fig +0.37
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.36
  • Today Track Code +0.29
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.28

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.23
  • Days Since Last Race -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Class Par Trend -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-20 FG 6f Dirt 1 2.8 86 79 Chsd; dueled; edged
2026-02-07 FG 6f Dirt 2 2.0 83 83 Crowded 1/16;yielded
2026-01-08 FG 5f Turf 7 12.0 60 76 Stalk; lost grnd; wknd
2024-06-06 CD 6f Dirt 1 3.0 84 81 Dueled ins;drove clear
2024-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 3 5.0 85 85 Stalk 3p;outmv;mss plc
2024-03-08 OP 1m Dirt 7 12.5 72 92 Closer 3w 2nd; tired
2023-12-30 OP 5.5f Dirt 6 7.3 69 95 Chased duel; faded
2023-12-08 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.5 90 92 Vied btwn;drift;held
2023-11-08 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 1.8 88 86 2wd;bid btw1/4;cleared
2023-09-29 CD 6f Dirt 7 33.5 32 86 Tracked 4p;wknd 5w1/4