John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 12

MALEVAJE

G '22 · ACCELERATE × REGAL SONG

Trainer: BROWN PAUL H JR · Jockey: BELLARDI ANTONIO JR

Today's prediction

55.3

Speed fig

18.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.27
  • Run Style EP +0.20
  • Days Since Last Race +0.18
  • Class Par Trend +0.16
  • Today Field Size +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -10.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -2.19
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.14
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-19 TP 6f Dirt 12 21.5 43 75 Prmpt 3w;chsd;wknd btw
2026-01-16 TP 1m Dirt 4 4.5 70 78 Ins;vied show;outkickd
2025-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 12 24.5 58 80 Stalk 2p-ins;chsd;wknd
2025-10-22 IND 1.06m Turf 5 7.5 65 70 Inside;bid1/4;faltered
2025-08-28 BTP 1.06m Turf 4 11.0 53 66 Chased; weakened
2025-07-23 BTP 1m Turf 5 4.8 60 66 Rail; no threat
2025-07-10 IND 6f Dirt 6 13.0 48 74 Jostled start;inside
2025-06-26 IND 1m Turf 10 21.5 53 73 Vied3p;gave way1/4
2024-10-25 KEE 1.13m Turf 11 27.5 52 80 Bmpd st;rank/stdy erly
2024-09-05 KD 7f Turf 8 13.5 55 80 Bumpd brk;5-p turn