John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 6

MAKES SENSE

C '22 · STREET SENSE × PURE POISON

Trainer: SUMMERS CHAD · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

86.0

Speed fig

25.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.01
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.94
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.39
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.56

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.64
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.55
  • Today Field Size -0.21
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.20
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 AQU 1.13m Dirt 5 5.5 88 95 Buckled st; no rally
2026-02-06 AQU 1.13m Dirt 1 5.0 94 95 Ins trns;driftd out1/8
2025-12-26 AQU 1.13m Dirt 6 6.0 91 95 3-2w 1st trn; weakened
2025-10-24 BAQ 1m Dirt 7 10.8 76 91 5-6w uppr; weakened
2025-09-20 BAQ 7f Dirt 8 25.0 58 93 2-3path turn;no factor
2025-08-14 SAR 7f Dirt 1 0.5 91 85 4p turn;6p1/4;rallied
2025-07-20 SAR 1.13m Dirt 1 7.0 91 84 3-4p;lead3/16;drift in
2025-06-15 BAQ 1.13m Dirt 2 10.5 79 89 3p trns;carry out3/16
2025-05-17 BAQ 1m Dirt 5 11.0 79 89 Chased 2p; weakened
2025-03-29 GP 7f Dirt 2 1.0 83 90 2p;bid1/4;late gain