John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 4

MAJOR MACK

G '21 · OMAHA BEACH × D'CATS MEOW

Trainer: VON HEMEL DONNIE K · Jockey: CEDILLO ABEL

Today's prediction

65.8

Speed fig

20.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.28
  • Distance Change From Last +0.17
  • Weight Change From Last +0.15
  • Run Style P +0.14
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.52
  • Starts Last 180d -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 OP 1m Dirt 5 7.8 69 78 Ins; ridden far; faded
2025-09-28 CD 7f Dirt 10 18.5 54 83 2wd btwn; done early
2025-05-18 PRM 1m Dirt 5 14.5 59 78 Bid 5/16p;gave way
2025-04-27 OP 6f Dirt 9 9.5 60 82 Tired inside
2025-04-04 OP 6f Dirt 3 0.8 77 80 Came in;bmp;check5/8
2025-03-16 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 4.0 70 85 Closer 3-4w 2nd;faded
2025-02-01 OP 1m Dirt 5 8.5 77 81 Dueled 2p; faltered
2024-12-21 OP 1m Dirt 2 3.0 81 84 Tracked rail; 2nd best
2024-10-25 KEE 6.5f Dirt 2 2.3 80 83 Ins;ri bid;turned away
2024-09-22 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 5.3 75 82 3;4-w; mild rally