John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 4

MAGIC WOMAN

F '23 · GOOD MAGIC × LAUREANA

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

78.5

Speed fig

36.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.71
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Track Code +0.40
  • Weight Change From Last +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.69
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.14
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Class Par Trend -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 7.8 78 81 3p1/4;6p lane;even shw
2026-04-02 OP 6f Dirt 4 6.8 82 85 Slow st;2p;angle5p upr