John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 5

MAGIC BREW

C '23 · CANDY RIDE × BOBBY'S BABE

Trainer: FOLEY GREG · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

73.2

Speed fig

17.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.68
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.67
  • Today Track Code +0.38
  • Distance Change From Last +0.14
  • Weight Change From Last +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.00
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.33
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.31
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30
  • Class Par Trend -0.23

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-01-19 FG 5.5f Turf 1 0.5 77 81 Duel; inched; held
2025-11-07 CD 6f Dirt 5 15.3 64 84 Step slow/veerd out st