Derby 2026
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PP 1

MAE TOWN

F '22 · MO TOWN × LATEST THINKING

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

20.0%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.39
  • Days Since Last Race +0.36
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.22
  • Last Speed Fig +0.17
  • Class Par Trend +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.39
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.37
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.14
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-06 ELP 5.5f Turf 1 0.8 86 87 4p;7p3/16;rallied
2025-06-11 CD 5.5f Turf 1 1.0 88 91 Stalked ins;2w1/8;bid
2025-05-09 CD 5f Turf 1 2.8 85 83 Prompt 2wd;drove clear
2025-03-16 GP 5f Turf 2 0.3 77 80 3wd; 5wd 3/16; rally
2025-02-15 GP 5f Turf 3 0.5 74 81 Rail;4w 3/16;rally btw