John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 1

MAE TOWN

F '22 · MO TOWN × LATEST THINKING

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Scratched today

85.2

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.95
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.75
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Last Speed Fig +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.74
  • Days Since Last Race -0.38
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.29
  • Today Field Size -0.17
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-06 ELP 5.5f Turf 1 0.8 86 87 4p;7p3/16;rallied
2025-06-11 CD 5.5f Turf 1 1.0 88 91 Stalked ins;2w1/8;bid
2025-05-09 CD 5f Turf 1 2.8 85 83 Prompt 2wd;drove clear
2025-03-16 GP 5f Turf 2 0.3 77 80 3wd; 5wd 3/16; rally
2025-02-15 GP 5f Turf 3 0.5 74 81 Rail;4w 3/16;rally btw