John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 11

LUNDBERG

G '19 · UNCLE MO × RUNWAY READY

Trainer: BAHENA FERNANDO · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

80.8

Speed fig

19.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.64
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.49
  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Today Field Size -0.25
  • Today Track Code -0.21
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 OP 6f Dirt 5 4.3 82 95 Chased; little left
2026-03-27 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.0 89 87 2p1/4;7p upper;rallied
2026-03-08 OP 6f Dirt 6 13.3 69 89 3p;float6p lane;weaken
2026-02-20 OP 6f Dirt 5 5.5 85 91 Vied2p-rail;yielded1/8
2026-02-06 OP 6f Dirt 7 5.3 84 95 Off pace2p-rail;flatnd
2026-01-04 OP 6f Dirt 2 6.3 88 95 Steered 4w; up 2nd
2025-12-13 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 90 90 Stalked 3w;led;lasted
2025-10-19 HAW 5.5f Dirt 2 0.3 85 87 Trk ins;bid1/4;hung
2025-08-14 HAW 6f Dirt 4 7.8 78 86 Btw-ins;vied;faded
2025-07-10 HAW 6f Dirt 3 5.5 79 89 Snatch bck 5/8;angled