John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 8

LUCKY MISCHIEF

C '22 · YOSHIDA × SHE'S MISCHIEF

Trainer: HILES RICK · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

75.8

Speed fig

38.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.35
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.26
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.21
  • Class Par Trend +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.20
  • Today Field Size -0.43
  • Today Post Position -0.37
  • Last Speed Fig -0.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.26

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 OP 1.06m Dirt 7 23.0 59 92 Track inside; retreat
2026-03-08 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 5.3 83 85 Ins;ridden7/16;4p lane
2026-02-12 FG 1.06m Turf 5 3.5 80 87 7w; bmp1/4; bmp1/8
2026-01-16 FG 1.06m Turf 2 0.3 83 83 4wbid; bmpd; missed
2025-12-27 FG 1m Turf 11 6.5 72 87 Trailed most
2025-11-20 FG 1.06m Turf 3 2.5 83 87 Bmpst; tip 5w; at bay
2025-03-01 FG 1.06m Turf 5 8.5 78 89 2wd btwn; gave way
2025-01-30 FG 1.06m Turf 4 5.3 82 87 Ins;bid 2w;outkk;yield
2024-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 8 15.0 74 85 Off slow;5wd;tired
2024-11-08 CD 1.06m Turf 5 2.3 81 Lean out/bump;ins;even