John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 10

LOW KEY IN LOVE

F '22 · QUALITY ROAD × INLOVEWITHLOVE

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

84.9

Speed fig

31.7%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.61
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.61
  • Today Track Code +0.46
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.34

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.70
  • Today Post Position -0.43
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.34
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.23
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 3 4.5 81 88 Bobble/bmp st;rl rally
2025-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 2 2.5 88 91 Ins-2p;bid 3p1/8;outkk
2025-11-22 CD 1m Turf 2 1.5 84 86 3pbtw;traffc;tip;rally
2025-04-11 TAM 1m Turf 1 2.8 78 75 Brsh st;bid3-2w;cleard
2025-03-16 GP 1m Dirt 4 9.3 79 81 Outside;4p;no kick