John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

LOVIN' ON THE RUN

M '20 · RUNHAPPY × RUE DE CRY

Trainer: ORTIZ JOHN ALEXANDER · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

83.2

Speed fig

27.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.76
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.81
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.52

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Btn Lengths -0.22
  • Distance Change From Last -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15
  • Last Speed Fig -0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 OP 6f Dirt 6 18.5 67 96 Trailed throughout
2026-02-13 SA 6f Dirt 1 1.5 95 90 Waited2w;angled;clear
2026-01-09 SA 6f Turf 1 1.3 92 82 Ins;bid btw;clear uppr
2025-12-14 LRC 6.5f Dirt 1 9.0 89 88 Bpd st;ins-3w;crushed
2025-11-23 DMR 5f Turf 8 3.0 84 86 Inside-2wd;needed more
2025-09-14 LRC 6.5f Dirt 1 5.3 92 88 Bid4deep; ridden out
2025-07-26 DMR 5f Turf 5 1.8 89 94 Bit slow;traffic upper
2025-06-21 LRC 6.5f Dirt 1 0.1 87 89 2-4w;bid inside;gamely
2025-05-25 SA 6f Turf 3 1.5 79 85 Stalked ins; willingly
2025-05-10 SA 6f Turf 1 1.8 83 83 Bid3deep7/16;duel;clr