John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 12

LORIEBETH

F '22 · TAPITURE × MY AUNT BETH

Trainer: TAYLOR BRENT · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

66.6

Speed fig

18.1%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Weight Change From Last +0.21
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.19
  • Num Career Starts +0.15
  • Days Since Last Race +0.14
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.02
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46
  • Last Finish Pos -0.40
  • Today Post Position -0.36

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 11 12.0 57 85 Step slow st;2p;4p1/4
2026-03-11 TP 6f Dirt 6 8.0 66 82 Bmpd btw/shuffld early
2026-02-11 TP 6f Dirt 4 12.0 66 81 Duel outs winner;faded
2026-01-14 TP 6f Dirt 4 4.0 74 81 Vied 2w;3-4p;yield btw
2025-12-11 TP 6f Dirt 3 2.0 77 81 Duel 2p/angle in wknd
2025-11-13 CD 5f Turf 6 2.8 73 81 Bt slow;improvd btw1/8