John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 4

LORELEI LEE

F '23 · NYQUIST × MARILYN MONROAN

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: DE LA CRUZ FERNANDO

Today's prediction

82.8

Speed fig

20.2%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.69
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66
  • Last Speed Fig +0.57
  • Today Track Code +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.41
  • Today Field Size -1.05
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.52
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.41
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 TP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 91 91 2p;shk free;held well
2026-02-21 TP 6f Dirt 3 6.5 75 86 Press 5-6p;dueled show
2026-01-08 TP 6f Dirt 1 2.3 84 80 Bmps st;4-6p;bid;clear