John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 2

LORD MAJESTY

G '22 · LORD NELSON × MAJESTY'S CROWN

Trainer: DAVID CARLOS A · Jockey: MENDOZA AMIR

Today's prediction

81.3

Speed fig

52.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.55
  • Last Speed Fig +0.27
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d +0.25
  • Today Weight +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.37
  • Class Par Trend -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.13
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 6f Dirt 1 2.0 85 84 Vied 2w-3p;held sway
2026-04-08 IND 6f Dirt 2 1.3 77 84 4p;mild late bid
2026-03-07 OP 6f Dirt 6 4.5 74 Ran in spots; rail-3p
2026-02-19 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.5 78 85 Track ins-3p;ld btw1/8
2025-12-26 OP 6f Dirt 8 12.5 78 89 Thru before a half
2025-11-23 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.3 85 84 2w;5p upr;bid btw;duel
2025-11-05 IND 6f Dirt 2 2.0 82 78 Duel rail;couldn't lst
2025-10-14 IND 6f Dirt 4 2.5 74 80 Stalkd4p;mild late bid
2025-10-07 IND 6f Dirt 8 8.5 72 90 Pressed5p;faded turn
2025-09-24 IND 5.5f Dirt 3 2.5 71 80 Vied btw;settld;no bid