John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 7

LONG AGO

M '20 · ROARING LION × LET IT BE ME

Trainer: MOREY WILLIAM E · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

83.9

Speed fig

23.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.48
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.15
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.15
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.09
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.80

Pushing prediction down

  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.56
  • Num Career Starts -0.32
  • Days Since Last Race -0.26
  • Starts Last 180d -0.26
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-08 WO 1.25m Dirt 7 8.0 74 93 Brk in;ask5/16;no bid
2025-10-04 SA 1.25m Turf 6 3.0 88 94 2-3wd;tip out;no bid
2025-08-30 SAR 1.38m Turf 6 4.8 99 93 Rated inside;no kick
2025-07-27 SAR 1.50m Turf 3 12.0 92 93 Bumped st; wknd late
2025-06-29 CD 1.13m Turf 3 1.0 92 91 2-3w;bid btw1/8;vied
2025-06-11 CD 1.38m Turf 1 2.8 89 88 Ins;drw clear;rddn out
2025-03-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 6 40.0 41 94 Dropped far back
2025-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 1 6.5 86 89 Luggd in 1/8;drew away
2024-11-26 DVL 1.18m Dirt 3 0.5
2024-10-19 PAU 1.24m Dirt 2 0.1