John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 9

LOCKSTOCKNPHAROAH

G '23 · AMERICAN PHAROAH × LOCKSTEP

Trainer: DRURY THOMAS JR · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

26.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.37
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.82
  • Last Speed Fig +0.73

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.36
  • Today Field Size -0.16
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.14
  • Today Track Code -0.12
  • Last Finish Pos -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1.13m Dirt 5 6.8 92 94 Pace; worn down late
2026-02-07 TP 1m Dirt 1 8.3 92 91 Strong hold3/4;grd dwn
2025-12-19 TP 6f Dirt 1 2.0 80 84 Lunged st; cleared off