Derby 2026
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PP 4

LITMUS TEST

C '23 · NYQUIST × STUDY HARD

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: GARCIA MARTIN

Today's prediction

93.0

Speed fig

13.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.63
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.52
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.24
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.83
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.20
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.14
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.10
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.10
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 OP 1.13m Dirt 7 12.5 83 102 Slip brk;4w;lttle left
2026-03-01 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 5.3 87 98 Legit pace;no mtchtop2
2025-12-13 LRC 1.06m Dirt 1 1.3 90 97 Stalk;bid outside;best
2025-10-31 DMR 1.06m Dirt 4 1.8 102 97 Failed to make headway
2025-10-04 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 5.0 91 97 Ins winner; yielded
2025-09-07 DMR 7f Dirt 4 4.3 92 97 5-3w;drft in/bp midstr
2025-08-16 DMR 5.5f Dirt 1 0.8 90 90 Btw;2-3w;led;hld well