John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 8

LION LAKE

F '23 · DARK ANGEL × URJUWAAN

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

89.2

Speed fig

27.3%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.74
  • Last Speed Fig +0.70
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.61

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.53
  • Today Field Size -0.51
  • Today Post Position -0.34
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.14
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 1m Turf 3 0.5 91 89 2p;btw;wait;bid;outfns
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 1 0.1 88 88 Inside; determinedly
2026-01-30 GP 7.5f Turf 1 0.8 79 80 Bump into 1st; 3-4wd
2025-12-24 GP 1.06m Turf 3 0.5 83 76 Pinch start; 4wd rally
2025-10-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 2 2.8 85 81 Crowdd/stdy st;bmp5/16
2025-09-07 KD 1m Turf 4 6.3 66 73 Ins turn;4-w uppr;even