Derby 2026
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PP 8

LION LAKE

F '23 · DARK ANGEL × URJUWAAN

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

89.5

Speed fig

24.0%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.57
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.84
  • Class Par Trend +0.55
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.38
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.74
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.28
  • Days Since Last Race -0.20
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.12
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 1m Turf 3 0.5 91 89 2p;btw;wait;bid;outfns
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 1 0.1 88 88 Inside; determinedly
2026-01-30 GP 7.5f Turf 1 0.8 79 80 Bump into 1st; 3-4wd
2025-12-24 GP 1.06m Turf 3 0.5 83 76 Pinch start; 4wd rally
2025-10-17 KEE 5.5f Turf 2 2.8 85 81 Crowdd/stdy st;bmp5/16
2025-09-07 KD 1m Turf 4 6.3 66 73 Ins turn;4-w uppr;even