John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 11

LINCOLN'S LAW

C '23 · LIAM'S MAP × BERNADREAMY

Trainer: BAUER PHILIP A · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

86.8

Speed fig

31.6%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.33
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.02
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.87
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.39
  • Today Post Position -0.32
  • Today Field Size -0.23
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.21
  • Class Par Trend -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-27 GP 1m Dirt 2 9.3 86 88 Prompted winner 3path
2026-02-28 GP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 95 89 Awk st; 3wd; drvng