John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 9

LIL BRAVEHEART

F '23 · WILL TAKE CHARGE × SPANISH ROYALTY

Trainer: BARRETT RODDINA A · Jockey: TROXTELL BRITTANY

Today's prediction

59.6

Speed fig

29.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.65
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate +0.27
  • Weight Change From Last +0.19
  • Distance Change From Last +0.19
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -9.05
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.11
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.74

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 6f Dirt 10 26.5 46 82 1/2 beat slw;ins;outrn
2026-04-03 KEE 6.5f Dirt 10 19.0 64 88 Off slw;lag ins;no bid