John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 1

LIGHTER

C '23 · CONSTITUTION × GALINA POINT

Trainer: BRISSET RODOLPHE · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

77.6

Speed fig

27.0%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.29
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.21
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.96
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.62
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.44

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.45
  • Distance Change From Last -0.77
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.67
  • Today Field Size -0.45
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.26

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-06 IND 6f Dirt 1 7.5 87 81 Bid3/8;steady handling