John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R6

PP 5

LIGHT MAN

G '20 · CENTRAL BANKER × SO N SO

Trainer: LEVINE BRUCE · Jockey: CARMOUCHE K

Today's prediction

88.3

Speed fig

51.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.20
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.77
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.49
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.03
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.96

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.90
  • Starts Last 180d -0.36
  • Num Career Starts -0.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.13
  • Class Par Trend -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-08-29 SAR 7f Dirt 4 4.3 88 95 Buckled st; wknd late
2025-07-31 SAR 7f Dirt 3 4.0 97 93 Cut pace 3-2w; kept on
2025-06-13 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 3 4.5 92 94 Chased 4-3w; mild bid
2024-11-23 AQU 7f Dirt 6 4.5 94 97 Bmp brk;duel;ins;wknd
2024-10-27 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 1 0.8 92 94 5w uppr; up 1/16; safe
2024-08-31 SAR 6.5f Dirt 3 7.0 91 99 2-3p turn;mvd out3/16
2024-08-08 SAR 6f Dirt 3 3.5 95 96 Chased 3-2w; kept on
2024-07-05 BAQ 6f Dirt 1 1.3 88 96 6w uppr;up final jumps
2024-05-17 BAQ 6f Dirt 1 0.3 88 94 5-6w uppr; up late
2024-02-29 AQU 1m Dirt 1 0.1 83 88 Bumped foes; lasted