John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 9

LEXI V.

F '23 · LEXITONIAN × VINCA

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

76.3

Speed fig

33.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.65
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.41
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.16
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.43
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.32
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.31
  • Today Post Position -0.28
  • Distance Change From Last -0.23

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-05 GP 6f Dirt 3 4.5 80 85 Stalk;4deep;swung6w
2026-02-08 GP 7f Dirt 5 6.0 75 85 Rail bid; weakened