Derby 2026
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PP 3

LATE TO THE GAME

M '21 · COMPETITIVE EDGE × A P MINK

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

80.2

Speed fig

43.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.23
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.18
  • Starts Last 180d +0.16
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.06
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.03

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.90
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.52
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.30
  • Class Par Trend -0.28
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-26 TP 6f Dirt 7 6.0 78 88 Close up; needed more
2026-02-28 TP 6f Dirt 3 2.8 84 88 3p;outkckd 3/16;ran on
2026-01-17 TP 6f Dirt 3 3.0 84 91 Ins pair 1/4;held show
2025-12-20 TP 6f Dirt 1 2.3 84 81 Brk thru gate;4p;clear
2025-11-21 CD 7f Dirt 6 13.0 70 83 Bpd btw/steady st;5-8p
2025-10-17 KEE 6f Dirt 6 8.8 67 88 Jostled btw/stdy st;4p
2025-09-15 IND 6f Dirt 5 2.0 80 86 Rallied inside3/16
2025-02-28 OP 1.06m Dirt 91 Early traffc;stop;easd
2025-01-19 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.1 76 84 4w move;clear;lasted
2024-12-22 OP 6f Dirt 4 4.0 73 84 Off slw;improvd widest