John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 9

LASTING LEGACY

C '23 · CONNECT × TEMPUS FUGIT

Trainer: BLAIR JORDAN · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

73.9

Speed fig

38.9%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.55
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.20
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.17
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.13
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.93
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.91
  • Today Post Position -0.45
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.29
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 78 81 4p;6p1/4;up plc;caught