John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

LANDING CRAFT

C '22 · OMAHA BEACH × BRIDGETTE BORDEAUX

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

78.6

Speed fig

44.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.94
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.97
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.32
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.26
  • Today Post Position +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.61
  • Today Field Size -0.57
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.52
  • Days Since Last Race -0.22
  • Class Par Trend -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-09 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 0.1 80 86 Prs 5p;ran on;brsh;mss
2026-03-28 TP 6.5f Dirt 6 4.5 75 90 Ins;split 2w3/16;brush
2026-01-04 AQU 6.5f Dirt 6 24.5 58 96 Stumbled; steadied st
2025-11-08 AQU 6f Turf 6 3.3 78 92 Ins;headed ins1/8;wknd
2025-10-19 BAQ 6f Turf 4 3.0 86 90 Ins;swung5w;bmpd 1/8
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 3 3.0 83 91 Ins; bid3p1/8; flatten
2025-08-07 SAR 1m Turf 6 2.3 85 87 Ins;led to 1/16;wknd
2025-07-19 SAR 7f Dirt 8 15.0 74 95 Drp back7/16;ins-2p;3
2025-05-02 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 10.3 75 91 Duel;clear;faltered
2025-03-02 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 1.0 84 90 Soft pace; grudgingly