John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 6

LAHAINALUNA

C '22 · QUALITY ROAD × KITTEN'S FINEST

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

81.9

Speed fig

28.7%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.27
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.00
  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Last Speed Fig +0.31
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.69
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.25
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.15
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.14
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 1.13m Turf 3 1.3 84 87 Bmpd erly;3p;5p1/4;bid
2026-03-18 TP 1.06m Dirt 3 3.3 79 87 2-3w;repelld;outkk plc
2026-01-11 FG 1m Dirt 4 15.8 67 88 Outwrd st; no threat