John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 3

LADY ORIENT

F '22 · LIAM'S MAP × SECOND COMING

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: LEPAROUX JULIEN R

Today's prediction

81.2

Speed fig

41.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.56
  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.29
  • Last Finish Pos +0.28
  • Last Speed Fig +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.00
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.18
  • Days Since Last Race -0.16
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1m Dirt 1 2.8 84 81 Ins;bid 2w1/8;cleared
2026-03-09 FG 1m Dirt 1 4.5 84 77 Adv1/2; bid upr; drvng
2026-02-05 FG 1.04m Dirt 3 1.0 70 75 Rank; drift; rallied
2025-07-31 SAR 6.5f Dirt 2 0.8 80 79 5w upper; mild kick
2025-07-11 SAR 7f Dirt 5 7.8 72 7w upper; weakened
2025-06-06 CD 1m Dirt 3 15.3 74 82 Saved ground; no match
2025-03-08 FG 1.06m Turf 5 5.3 77 86 3-2w;bid 2nd;gave way
2025-01-20 FG 5.5f Turf 4 3.5 72 84 Step slow;5p upr;wllng
2024-12-22 FG 5.5f Turf 5 2.0 75 81 Bmpd/off slow;belatdly
2024-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 4 13.0 79 85 Brkout;stalk3w;chs btw