John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 13

LADY FAYE

F '23 · MENDELSSOHN × LADY CUILINN

Trainer: ROBERTS JOE BLAIR · Jockey: CORRALES GERARDO

Today's prediction

71.1

Speed fig

28.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.50
  • Class Par Trend +0.42
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.27
  • Today Track Code +0.24
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.62
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.47
  • Today Post Position -0.55
  • Today Field Size -0.44
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1.06m Turf 4 4.5 75 77 2w;btw;6p1/4;willngly
2026-03-26 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.1 78 74 Cls;bid5/16;lost bob
2026-02-28 TP 1m Dirt 2 3.3 65 69 Ins;wait;4p1/8;2nd bst
2026-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 3 6.5 69 68 Ins;5p3/16;edg shw1/16
2025-12-17 TP 1m Dirt 2 6.0 65 69 Rallied on no match
2025-10-09 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 10.5 60 76 4w2nd;outkckd;flattend
2025-09-13 CNL 1.06m Turf 7 14.0 65 70 Trackd;ridden 3/8;fade
2025-08-30 CNL 1m Turf 3 0.3 68 70 Ins;ranged up4w;hung
2025-08-14 CNL 1.06m Turf 5 12.0 63 71 Jostled 1st turn;fade
2025-07-24 CNL 1m Turf 4 10.5 61 70 Stalked 2p;duel;wknd