John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 9

LADY BLAKE

F '22 · MO TOWN × LADY DIVINE

Trainer: BAKER JAMES · Jockey: GUTIERREZ JOSE RAMOS

Today's prediction

69.3

Speed fig

12.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.38
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.33
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.32
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.64
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.57
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.53
  • Today Field Size -0.47

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1m Turf 6 9.0 69 81 3-2p; no factor ins
2026-03-25 TP 1m Dirt 6 16.0 64 74 2p-ins; no factor
2026-02-19 TP 1m Dirt 5 14.0 66 78 3p; no factor
2026-01-16 TP 1m Dirt 2 6.5 72 78 Saved grnd;edged place
2025-12-04 TP 1m Dirt 9 17.3 64 80 Chased pack empty
2025-11-06 CD 1m Turf 7 6.0 74 80 Bmpd btw;2wbtw;7p upr
2025-10-09 HAW 1m Turf 5 13.5 68 78 Mid-pack; needed more
2025-09-14 CD 1.13m Dirt 8 27.3 63 86 3w1st; faded 2p2nd
2025-08-16 ELP 1m Turf 1 2.5 79 76 Ins;bid 2w;drove clear
2025-07-03 ELP 1m Turf 3 0.8 72 77 Ins;ran on btw;up show