John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 3

LA CANTERA

F '22 · PERSIAN KING × DESERT LANTERN

Trainer: DAVID CARLOS A · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

84.7

Speed fig

26.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.58
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.85
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.67
  • Last Speed Fig +0.24
  • Today Track Code +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.48
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.16
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.10
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 GP 1.06m Turf 2 2.3 84 86 Ins;tipped3w; 2nd best
2026-03-21 GP 1.04m Dirt 6 11.3 71 86 4w1T;4-5p far;no rally
2026-02-21 GP 1.06m Turf 2 1.8 83 85 3wd; led 1/4 to late
2026-01-24 GP 1m Turf 5 1.5 87 87 Rail; wait; one-paced
2025-12-26 GP 1m Turf 1 3.3 86 82 2p;bid2-3w;mild drive
2025-11-30 GP 1.04m Dirt 2 1.3 81 83 Ins;angld1/8;thrw head
2025-11-01 GP 1m Turf 1 1.8 82 80 Traffic 1/4;drew clear
2025-08-21 CNL 1m Turf 2 1.8 81 79 Ins;bid3w;brushed 1/8
2025-07-17 CNL 1.06m Turf 1 0.8 80 76 Ins;bxd;angld1/8;clear
2025-06-07 GP 1.06m Turf 7 13.5 75 87 Outside;3-5w;no rally