John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 1

KOKOMO JOE

C '23 · MO TOWN × DON'T CHARGE IT

Trainer: SIMS MATTHEW P · Jockey: MACHADO DYLAN

Today's prediction

76.0

Speed fig

34.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.45
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.81
  • Last Finish Pos +0.22
  • Today Post Position +0.22
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.71
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.58
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.40
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.36
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-23 KEE 7f Dirt 1 1.8 73 93 Pressed 3-2w;held firm
2026-03-05 TP 6.5f Dirt 3 5.5 71 84 Prompt 3-2w;best rest