John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 8

KING OF ASHES

C '22 · STREET SENSE × CAUSEFORCOMMOTION

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

71.4

Speed fig

10.3%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.85
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.44
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.37
  • Days Since Last Race -0.70
  • Distance Change From Last -0.56
  • Today Track Code -0.38
  • Last Speed Fig -0.31

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-09-27 DEL 1.13m Turf 8 31.8 52 90 3-wide; retreated 3/8
2025-08-30 KD 1.31m Turf 11 18.3 78 91 Set pace; gave way
2025-07-18 SAR 1.06m Turf 9 8.3 86 87 2-3path;swung 6p1/4
2025-05-31 CD 1.13m Turf 2 0.3 92 92 2p;bid 4p3/8;led;cght
2025-04-23 KEE 1.19m Turf 2 0.8 82 Ins;clrd 2nd;cght late
2025-02-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 9 18.0 71 93 Never in contention
2025-01-18 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 82 86 Bmp st;3-5p;rally past
2024-11-24 GP 1.04m Dirt 2 0.5 80 82 4wd far; rallied
2024-10-17 KEE 7f Dirt 6 6.0 75 89 Step slw/chck st;3pbtw