John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

KICKING CLEAR

G '22 · KEEN ICE × CHEEKY CHARM

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

81.7

Speed fig

22.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.64
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.78
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.58
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.38
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.35

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.44
  • Starts Last 180d -0.22
  • Num Career Starts -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.19
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-04 TP 1.25m Dirt 1 0.1 87 87 4-6w2nd;rally;bid;duel
2025-11-20 CD 1.13m Dirt 3 3.5 86 87 3w;dueld;brshs;bmp1/16
2025-10-08 KEE 1.13m Turf 4 4.5 82 86 Ins;2w2nd;rail rally
2025-08-31 KD 1.50m Turf 5 2.5 80 85 Bump st;3p1/2;5p3/16
2025-06-08 CD 1.13m Turf 4 6.3 75 87 Ins-3p;altered out1/8
2025-04-08 KEE 1.13m Turf 4 8.8 74 87 Bumped st;saved ground
2025-02-23 TP 1m Dirt 4 3.8 78 84 Bore out st; improved
2024-12-06 TP 1m Dirt 5 8.8 65 76 Inside run no kick
2024-11-14 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 8.0 64 79 Bump;ins;best of rest
2024-09-19 CD 6.5f Dirt 11 35.0 24 85 Faded 6p turn; eased