John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 7

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G '22 · CATALINA CRUISER × CELTIC SONG

Trainer: PITTS DAN C · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JANN N

Today's prediction

64.1

Speed fig

5.0%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.30
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.19
  • Distance Change From Last +0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.15
  • Days Since Last Race +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.08
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.07
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.84
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.57

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-20 TP 1.06m Dirt 7 7.5 68 77 Step slow;2p;no factor
2026-03-04 TP 1m Dirt 5 8.0 68 77 3p;gave way;pass tired
2026-01-07 TP 6f Dirt 8 11.5 64 78 Step slow;saved ground
2025-10-29 CD 6f Dirt 8 18.3 52 83 3-5p; no factor
2025-04-08 KEE 1.13m Turf 10 25.3 56 87 3wd; faded 2nd
2025-02-15 TP 1m Dirt 11 19.0 53 84 Cloud not keep up
2025-01-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 10 11.5 58 85 Awk;crowded st; outrun