John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

KEEWAYDIN

C '22 · INSTAGRAND × NOTHING BUT HEART

Trainer: WALDEN WILLIAM · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

85.4

Speed fig

25.5%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.75
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.13
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.94
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.73

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.29
  • Class Par Trend -0.15
  • Last Finish Pos -0.11
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.10
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 CD 1m Dirt 8 10.3 83 92 Mild bid 5w; weakened
2026-03-13 CNL 7f Dirt 1 3.5 95 86 Inside;came out;held
2025-08-03 SAR 6f Dirt 7 10.0 81 95 Bmpd brk;ins trn;empty
2025-06-21 CD 6.5f Dirt 4 1.5 89 90 Drifted; bmpd foes 1/8
2025-05-10 BAQ 1m Dirt 3 6.3 79 94 Bmp brk;ins turn;wknd
2024-12-07 AQU 1.13m Dirt 5 9.5 81 95 3-2p turns;led;tired
2024-10-12 BAQ 7f Dirt 1 1.8 92 85 In hand2w;bid;ridn out
2024-08-24 SAR 6f Dirt 3 0.3 93 88 3-4w in aim; missed