John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 5

KEEP ON MOVING

G '22 · CAJUN BREEZE × SILVER CUB

Trainer: SWEEZEY J KENT · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

79.8

Speed fig

9.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.68
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.27
  • Today Track Code +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.19
  • Class Par Trend -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last -0.14
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.14
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-26 GP 7f Dirt 4 8.5 79 88 Bobbled; bump start
2026-02-19 GP 7f Dirt 5 3.8 81 87 Bid3-4w;5w uppr;flatnd
2026-01-17 GP 6f Dirt 4 7.0 81 90 Bmpds after brk;ins-2p
2025-12-07 GP 1m Turf 7 7.5 82 87 Failed to menace; 2-3w
2025-11-08 GP 1m Dirt 5 14.0 73 94 Shuffled 5/16;gave way
2025-10-11 GP 7f Dirt 1 0.5 89 90 Shifted 5w 1/16;surged
2025-08-29 GP 7f Dirt 2 0.3 84 90 Drifted 1/16;bid;missd
2025-07-12 GP 6.5f Dirt 1 2.8 89 87 Ins bid 1/4;won clear
2025-05-17 GP 6f Dirt 5 15.5 57 87 Duel;svd gnd;faded
2025-04-20 GP 6f Dirt 2 6.5 69 86 Bmpd st;btwn1/2;ins1/4